Tuesday, December 20, 2011

It's Not Official 'til it's Official ...


... but it's looking more and more like Gary Johnson is really going to make the jump from the GOP primaries to the Libertarian Party's presidential nomination contest.

Just to head off the conventional wisdom: No, he's not a shoo-in for that nomination.

It took Bob Barr six ballots to get over in 2008, and it was a nail-biter right up to the final ballot.

Of course, Johnson's getting an earlier start than Barr (who declared only a few weeks before the 2008 convention) did, and his past record as a politician is somewhat more congenial to Libertarians.

But he's still going to have to work for it, and he can expect pointed questions over his support of putting every man, woman and child in the United States on a federal welfare check (the "Fair" Tax), his notional support of "humanitarian wars," etc.

And weighing in the scale versus any benefits of a Johnson candidacy will be damage done by the LP's continued self-branding as The Party of Republicans Whose Own Party Doesn't Want Them Any More.

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