NFL Week 5 Picks

Week 5 of the 2026 NFL season kicks off tonight, and doubt that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will beat the Dallas Cowboys. My picks:

• Dallas Cowboys beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• Jacksonville Jaguars beat Philadelphia Eagles
• Houston Texans beat Tennessee Titans
• Cincinnati Bengals beat Miami Dolphins
• Las Vegas Raiders beat New England Patriots
• Minnesota Vikings beat New Orleans Saints
• Cleveland Browns beat New York Jets
• Pittsburgh Steelers beat Indianapolis Colts
• New York Giants beat Washington Commanders
• Chicago Bears beat Green Bay Packers
• Denver Broncos beat Los Angeles Chargers
• Detroit Lions beat Arizona Cardinals
• San Francisco 49ers beat Seattle Seahawks*
• Baltimore Ravens beat Atlanta Falcons
• Los Angeles Rams beat Buffalo Bills*

Upset picks are marked with an asterisk, and there may end up being a third to go with the two marked above (as of this writing, the Raiders/Patriots game is at 50/50 among players of ESPN's Pick'em game; I'll try to remember to add the asterisk if that changes in favor of the Pats). If I change any of my picks, the changes will be made before kickoff and specifically noted in an update to this post.

NFL Week 4 Results

My Week 4 NFL picks -- green means I got it right, red means I got it wrong:

• Pittsburgh Steelers beat Cleveland Browns
• Washington Commanders beat Indianapolis Colts*
• Buffalo Bills beat New England Patriots
• Chicago Bears beat New York Jets
• Jacksonville Jaguars beat Cincinnati Bengals*
• New York Giants beat Arizona Cardinals
• Philadelphia Eagles beat Los Angeles Rams*
• Green Bay Packers beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• Baltimore Ravens beat Tennessee Titans
• Houston Texans beat Dallas Cowboys*
• Minnesota Vikings beat Miami Dolphins
• Kansas City Chiefs beat Las Vegas Raiders
• San Francisco 49ers beat Denver Broncos
• Seattle Seahawks beat Los Angeles Chargers
• Detroit Lions beat Carolina Panthers
• New Orleans Saints beat Atlanta Falcons

Nine right, seven wrong, one better than last week. I'm 39-25 for the season and in the 88.2nd percentile among players in the ESPN Pick'em game.

NFL Week 4 Picks

Week 4 of the 2026 NFL season kicks off tomorrow night with the Pittsburgh Steelers, I predict, savaging the Cleveland Browns on Amazon Prime Video. Here are my picks -- feel free to join my "leaderboard" at ESPN's "Pick'em" game if you'd like to compare football prediction prowess.

• Pittsburgh Steelers beat Cleveland Browns
• Washington Commanders beat Indianapolis Colts*
• Buffalo Bills beat New England Patriots
• Chicago Bears beat New York Jets
• Jacksonville Jaguars beat Cincinnati Bengals*
• New York Giants beat Arizona Cardinals
• Philadelphia Eagles beat Los Angeles Rams*
• Green Bay Packers beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• Baltimore Ravens beat Tennessee Titans
• Houston Texans beat Dallas Cowboys*
• Minnesota Vikings beat Miami Dolphins
• Kansas City Chiefs beat Las Vegas Raiders
• San Francisco 49ers beat Denver Broncos
• Seattle Seahawks beat Los Angeles Chargers
• Detroit Lions beat Carolina Panthers
• New Orleans Saints beat Atlanta Falcons

"Upset" predictions -- predictions on which I disagree with the majority of ESPN Pick'em players -- are marked with asterisks. Any changes I make to my picks will be done prior to kickoff and noted below as well.

NFL Week 3 Results

I went 8 right, 8 wrong in NFL week 3, which doesn't seem like a great week. But I apparently did better than most, since I remain in the 93.7th percentile in ESPN's "Pick'em" game. Of my eight incorrect picks, six of them were not upset picks but rather went with the consensus. And two of my upset picks worked out. Correct picks in green, incorrect picks in red:

• Green Bay Packers beat Atlanta Falcons
• Buffalo Bills beat  Los Angeles Chargers
• Carolina Panthers beat Cleveland Browns
• Detroit Lions beat New York Jets
• Houston Texans beat Indianapolis Colts
• Kansas City Chiefs beat Miami Dolphins
• Tennessee Titans beat New York Giants*
• Cincinnati Bengals beat Pittsburgh Steelers
• Seattle Seahawks beat Washington Commanders
• Jacksonville Jaguars beat New England Patriots
• San Francisco 49ers beat Arizona Cardinals
• Minnesota Vikings beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• Dallas Cowboys beat Baltimore Ravens*
• Las Vegas Raiders beat New Orleans Saints*
• Denver Broncos beat Los Angeles Rams*
• Philadelphia Eagles beat Chicago Bears

So far I'm 30 right, 18 wrong for the season. I'd like to improve that dramatically, but I guess we'll see whether I'm able to.

NFL Week 3 Picks

 Week 3 of the 2026 NFL season kicks off tomorrow night with the Green Bay Packers taking on the Atlanta Falcons. Here are my picks -- feel free to join my "leaderboard" at ESPN's "Pick'em" game if you'd like to compare football prediction prowess.

• Green Bay Packers beat Atlanta Falcons
• Buffalo Bills beat  Los Angeles Chargers
• Carolina Panthers beat Cleveland Browns
• Detroit Lions beat New York Jets
• Houston Texans beat Indianapolis Colts
• Kansas City Chiefs beat Miami Dolphins
• Tennessee Titans beat New York Giants*
• Cincinnati Bengals beat Pittsburgh Steelers
• Seattle Seahawks beat Washington Commanders
• Jacksonville Jaguars beat New England Patriots
• San Francisco 49ers beat Arizona Cardinals
• Minnesota Vikings beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• Dallas Cowboys beat Baltimore Ravens*
• Las Vegas Raiders beat New Orleans Saints*
• Denver Broncos beat Los Angeles Rams*
• Philadelphia Eagles beat Chicago Bears

"Upset" predictions -- predictions on which I disagree with the majority of ESPN Pick'em players -- are marked with asterisks. Any changes I make to my picks will be done prior to kickoff and noted below as well.

NFL Week 2 Results

Week 2 of the NFL season wrapped up Monday night, but I'm just now getting around to sharing my results. Correct picks in green, incorrect in red:

• Detroit Lions beat Buffalo Bills*
• Carolina Panthers beat Atlanta Falcons
• Minnesota Vikings beat Chicago Bears*
• Philadelphia Eagles beat Tennessee Titans
• New England Patriots beat Pittsburgh Steelers
• Green Bay Packers beat New York Jets
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Cleveland Browns
• Baltimore Ravens beat New Orleans Saints
• Houston Texans beat Cincinnati Bengals
• Jacksonville Jaguars beat Denver Broncos*
• Las Vegas Raiders beat Los Angeles Chargers*
• Dallas Cowboys beat Washington Commanders
• Seattle Seahawks beat Arizona Cardinals
• San Francisco 49ers beat Miami Dolphins
• Kansas City Chiefs beat Indianapolis Colts
• Los Angeles Rams beat New York Giants

Eleven correct, five incorrect. Not a bad week. I'm currently at 22-10 for the season and in the 95th percentile among players of ESPN's "Pick'em" Game.

NFL Week 2 Picks

Week 2 of the 2026 NFL season commences tomorrow night at the brand new Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York, where the Buffalo Bills will host the Detroit Lions. Here are my picks (also visible at the "ESPN Pick'em" game site; I've created a "leaderboard" for anyone who wants to match their skills vs. mine).

• Detroit Lions beat Buffalo Bills*
• Carolina Panthers beat Atlanta Falcons
• Minnesota Vikings beat Chicago Bears*
• Philadelphia Eagles beat Tennessee Titans
• New England Patriots beat Pittsburgh Steelers
• Green Bay Packers beat New York Jets
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Cleveland Browns
• Baltimore Ravens beat New Orleans Saints
• Houston Texans beat Cincinnati Bengals
• Jacksonville Jaguars beat Denver Broncos*
• Las Vegas Raiders beat Los Angeles Chargers*
• Dallas Cowboys beat Washington Commanders
• Seattle Seahawks beat Arizona Cardinals
• San Francisco 49ers beat Miami Dolphins
• Kansas City Chiefs beat Indianapolis Colts
• Los Angeles Rams beat New York Giants

"Upset" predictions -- predictions on which I disagree with the majority of ESPN Pick'em players -- are marked with asterisks. Any changes I make to my picks will be done prior to kickoff and noted below as well.

NFL Week 1 Results

Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season wrapped up last night with -- surprisingly to most, maybe even to me just a little -- the Kansas City Chiefs delivering a 31-10 beatdown to the Denver Broncos. Here are my picks and how they panned out -- correct picks in green, incorrect in red:

• Seattle Seahawks beat New England Patriots
• San Francisco 49ers beat Los Angeles Rams*
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Cincinnati Bengals*
• Detroit Lions beat New Orleans Saints
• Tennessee Titans beat New York Jets
• Baltimore Ravens beat Indianapolis Colts
• Pittsburgh Steelers beat Atlanta Falcons
• Chicago Bears beat Carolina Panthers
• Jacksonville Jaguars beat Cleveland Browns
• Houston Texans beat Buffalo Bills*
• Las Vegas Raiders beat Miami Dolphins
• Minnesota Vikings beat Green Bay Packers*
• Philadelphia Eagles beat Washington Commanders
• Los Angeles Chargers beat Arizona Cardinals
• Dallas Cowboys beat New York Giants
• Kansas City Chiefs beat Denver Broncos*

Considering how little attention I paid to the NFL in the off-season, going 11 right, five wrong isn't terrible. It puts me in the 89.8th percentile of those playing ESPN's NFL Pick'em game. Also, I went three of five on "upsets" (where I picked the team to win that most players said would lose).

I still haven't decided whether I'll see this whole season through on weekly picks, because I don't know if I'll remain interested in the NFL. But based on the games I caught at least part of (49ers v. Rams, Jaguars vs. Browns, Texans v. Bills), I very well may.

Week 1 NFL Picks

The 2026 NFL season kicks off tomorrow night with the New England Patriots visiting the Seahawks in Seattle.

I don't know if I'll keep up weekly picks all season or not -- my level of interest is way down this year and will probably remain down unless the Chiefs or Jaguars are just really amazing.

What ESPN used to call "Pigskin Pick'em" is now just "ESPN Pick'em." I'll record my picks there to keep myself honest, and I've set up a leaderboard in a case any KN@PPSTER readers want to provably out-perform me.

This first week set of picks isn't particularly well-informed. It's based partly on last season's results and mostly on my personal prejudices.  "Upset" picks (those picked by less than half of ESPN Pick'em players) are marked with asterisks. Any changes will be made prior to kickoff and noted in an update to this post. Here we go:

• Seattle Seahawks beat New England Patriots
• San Francisco 49ers beat Los Angeles Rams*
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Cincinnati Bengals*
• Detroit Lions beat New Orleans Saints
• Tennessee Titans beat New York Jets
• Baltimore Ravens beat Indianapolis Colts
• Pittsburgh Steelers beat Atlanta Falcons
• Chicago Bears beat Carolina Panthers
• Jacksonville Jaguars beat Cleveland Browns
• Houston Texans beat Buffalo Bills*
• Las Vegas Raiders beat Miami Dolphins
• Minnesota Vikings beat Green Bay Packers*
• Philadelphia Eagles beat Washington Commanders
• Los Angeles Chargers beat Arizona Cardinals
• Dallas Cowboys beat New York Giants
• Kansas City Chiefs beat Denver Broncos*

A Rare NFL Pre-Season Game Take

Yesterday, the Kansas City Chiefs lost a pre-season game to the Tampa Buccaneers. Which doesn't sound good for the Chiefs.

What does that tell us about the Chiefs' prospects in the coming season? IMO, not much.

It was a one-point loss, with Harrison Butker missing on four points (a missed field goal and a missed extra point). Butker has become less consistently perfect in the last couple of years, but it's not like he's gone to hell in a hand-basket. He nailed a 69-yard field goal. Nothing resembling a blowout.

Both teams did play most of their starters for at least parts of the game, but Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes didn't play at all, and Bucs QB Baker Mayfield only played two drives. Backups played the rest of the game at QB.

Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce, who probably should have retired before the 2025 season, played and played pretty well, but I don't think we'll see him on the field a lot during the regular season. I consider his presence on the field yesterday to be more along the lines of reassurance and motivation for the new guys than an indicator that he's going to be a big part of the season.

The two big questions for the Chiefs this year are:

• Will Mahomes be really back, healthy, and at top of form himself? and
• Will his recovery from injury have thwarted his usually excellent skills at forming the rest of the team into a unit that he can make good use of before he has to make use of them for real?

I'm not confident that both of those things will be the case. It wasn't a minor injury, Mahomes is not just out of high school and able to bounce back the way a 19-year-old can, and when the Chiefs were really good for several years, it seemed to largely be because he and his teammates could literally read each others' minds to pull off crazy shit that normal teams couldn't.

I will not be surprised if the Chiefs don't make the playoffs this year. Even if Mahomes is in perfect form, they're definitely in a rebuilding phase. If he can't stay healthy, a different quarterback will have to not just rebuild, but use a different model for rebuilding.

On the other hand, losing by only one point to the Bucs because your kicker wasn't quite in the zone doesn't prove much either way.

Well, That Sucks for the Broncos

In the AFC Divisional Round, the Denver Broncos beat the Buffalo Bills in overtime ... an OT which I did not expect and didn't notice until this morning. I briefly tuned into the game in the third quarter, when the Broncos were well ahead, saw Josh Allen throw an interception, kind of assumed it would be a blow-out, and went back to other things than football.

Blowing that lead and having to win in overtime cost Denver their starting quarterback, Bo Nix, who broke his ankle ... which means they'll be relying on backup  QB Jarrett Stidham in the AFC championship game -- in which they'll probably face Stidham's former team, the New England Patriots.  Even if New England really bobbles it and the Broncos play Houston instead, I'm guessing Denver's post-season is over.

I also didn't watch the NFC side, in which the Seahawks beat San Francisco (I predicted the opposite). So the NFC championship will come down to Seattle versus the Rams or the Bears. My busted bracket, and my continuing predictions after the bust, have the Rams whipping everyone until they lose the Super Bowl, which I still expect, although I'm sad that it will probably be the Patriots rather than the Jaguars giving them the beatdown.

NFL Wild Card Round Bracket Outcomes, Modified Divisional Round Predictions

The sad thing about a bracket is that a single pick can destroy the final prediction. I went five for six on the NFL's Wild Card Round, but the one I missed involved the team I expected to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl, the Jacksonville Jaguars.

I correctly picked the Patriots to beat the Chargers and the Texans to beat the Steelers in the AFC, and correctly picked the Rams to beat the Panthers, the 49ers to beat the Eagles, and the Bears to beat the Packers in the NFC.

My bracket being busted on the AFC side, I'll move my picks for the AFC Divisional Round, as modified by that outcome, here just for fun:

• The Denver Broncos will beat the Buffalo Bills, and
• The New England Patriots will beat the Houston Texans

The NFC side of the bracket is still at 100%, and I still expect the 49ers to beat the Seahawks and the Rams to beat the Bears in that conference's Divisional Round.

NFL Post-Season Bracket

You can actually see the bracket here (at ESPN's Pigskin Bracket Challenge), but I'll break it down in plain text as well:

Wild Card Round, AFC:

• Broncos have a bye
• Texans beat Steelers
• Jaguars beat Bills
• Patriots beat Chargers

Divisional Round, AFC:

• Broncos beat Texans
• Jaguars beat Patriots

Conference Championship, AFC:

• Jaguars beat Broncos

Wild Card Round, NFC:

• Seahawks have a bye
• Rams beat Panthers
• 49ers beat Eagles
• Bears beat Packers (corrected in this post thanks to an alert commenter -- see linked bracket).

Divisional Round, NFC:

• 49ers beat Seahawks
• Rams beat Bears

Conference Championship, NFC:

• Rams beat 49ers

Super Bowl:

• Jaguars beat Rams

Disagree? That's fine, but rando talk is cheap. If you want to put your bracket up against mine, you can do so at this link. If not, feel free to STFU.

NFL Week 18 Results

I went nine right, seven wrong for the week -- not a terrible performance, and I did move up from 79.5th percentile to 80.7th percentile among players in ESPN's Pigskin Pick'em Game ... but it really should have been better. I expected the Chiefs to at least be able to beat the damn Raiders; I expected the Broncos to sit their star players versus the Chargers rather than vice-versa; and even with the Eagles sitting their starters, I still expected them to easily handle the Commanders. Oh, well. Correct picks in green, incorrect in red:

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Carolina Panthers
• San Francisco 49ers beat Seattle Seahawks
• Atlanta Falcons beat New Orleans Saints
• Cincinnati Bengals beat Cleveland Browns
• Minnesota Vikings beat Green Bay Packers*
• Dallas Cowboys beat New York Giants
• Jacksonville Jaguars beat Tennessee Titans
• Houston Texans beat Indianapolis Colts
• Buffalo Bills beat New York Jets
• Chicago Bears beat Detroit Lions
• Los Angeles Chargers beat Denver Broncos*
• Kansas City Chiefs beat Las Vegas Raiders
• Los Angeles Rams beat Arizona Cardinals
• New England Patriots beat Miami Dolphins
• Philadelphia Eagles beat Washington Commanders
• Pittsburgh Steelers beat Baltimore Ravens*

I ended up with a season record of 161 correct, 109 incorrect,

NFL Week 18 Picks

No Thursday Night Football this week -- the final weekend of the NFL's 2025 regular season begins Saturday with the Panthers playing the Buccaneers. My picks:

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Carolina Panthers
• San Francisco 49ers beat Seattle Seahawks
• Atlanta Falcons beat New Orleans Saints
• Cincinnati Bengals beat Cleveland Browns
• Minnesota Vikings beat Green Bay Packers*
• Dallas Cowboys beat New York Giants
• Jacksonville Jaguars beat Tennessee Titans
• Houston Texans beat Indianapolis Colts
• Buffalo Bills beat New York Jets
• Chicago Bears beat Detroit Lions
• Los Angeles Chargers beat Denver Broncos*
• Kansas City Chiefs beat Las Vegas Raiders
• Los Angeles Rams beat Arizona Cardinals
• New England Patriots beat Miami Dolphins
• Philadelphia Eagles beat Washington Commanders
• Pittsburgh Steelers beat Baltimore Ravens*

"Upset" picks --  predicted outcomes that go against the majority picks among those playing ESPN's Pigskin Pick'em game as of the time I make my picks -- are marked with asterisks. If I change any picks, I will do so before the games in question kick off and clearly mark changes as changes in updates to this post.

NFL Week 17 Results

Wow, that was a pretty crappy week for my predictive abilities -- seven right, nine wrong. As a result, I moved down a whopping 0.1% in ESPN's Pigskin Pick'em game, from the 79.6th percentile to the 79.5th. So I guess a lot of other players had bad weeks too. Correct picks in green, incorrect picks in red:

• Dallas Cowboys beat Washington Commanders
• Detroit Lions beat Minnesota Vikings
• Denver Broncos beat Kansas City Chiefs
• Houston Texans beat Los Angeles Chargers*
• Green Bay Packers beat Baltimore Ravens
• Cincinnati Bengals beat Arizona Cardinals
• Seattle Seahawks beat Carolina Panthers
• Pittsburgh Steelers beat Cleveland Browns
• Tennessee Titans beat New Orleans Saints*
• Jacksonville Jaguars beat Indianapolis Colts
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Miami Dolphins
• New England Patriots beat New York Jets
• Las Vegas Raiders beat New York Giants*
• Buffalo Bills beat Philadelphia Eagles
• Chicago Bears beat San Francisco 49ers*
• Los Angeles Rams beat Atlanta Falcons

While I'm not terribly enthused about the post-season, I'm glad that the Jaguars will make the playoffs (wild card berth if they lose to the Titans and the Texans beat Indianapolis in Week 18; otherwise, the Jaguars take the AFC South).

NFL Week 16 Results

In Week 16, I did a little better than usual -- 11 right, five wrong -- and moved up to the 79.6th percentile in ESPN's Pigskin Pick'em game. Correct picks in green, incorrect picks in red:

• Los Angeles Rams beat Seattle Seahawks
• Philadelphia Eagles beat Washington Commanders
• Chicago Bears beat Green Bay Packers
• Buffalo Bills beat Cleveland Browns
• Los Angeles Chargers beat Dallas Cowboys
• Kansas City Chiefs beat Tennessee Titans
• New Orleans Saints beat New York Jets
• Minnesota Vikings beat New York Giants
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Carolina Panthers
• Miami Dolphins beat Cincinnati Bengals*
• Jacksonville Jaguars beat Denver Broncos*
• Atlanta Falcons beat Arizona Cardinals
• Detroit Lions beat Pittsburgh Steelers
• Houston Texans beat Las Vegas Raiders
• New England Patriots beat Baltimore Ravens
• San Francisco 49ers beat Indianapolis Colts

It gets a little weirder from here on out: Teams that have assured their playoff berths/seeds -- or been excluded -- may rest their usual starters and lose games they'd have normally won.

My expectation is that the Kansas City Chiefs, with a busted season, will  largely use their last few games as auditions/tests for players who've seen little or no game time this year. In addition to Mahomes and Minshew being out with injuries and Kelce likely retiring, they've got other players who are on the injury list or who may be looking at the door. So Andy Reid will try to get a jump on putting together the 2026 squad. That doesn't mean they necessarily WON'T win any more, but I'm not really expecting them to.

F*CK the Kansas City Chiefs

After more than half a century at Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs are going on the corporate welfare teat and moving across the border from Missouri to Kansas as of 2031 ... to collect nearly $2 billion in corporate welfare for a new stadium.

On a quick search, the Chiefs seem to have turned a profit of more than $100 million last year, and that number seems to have been rising annually over time.

But they want taxpayers to buy them a new stadium.

They could have set aside a buck per ticket from the outrageous prices over the years, or earmarked branded merch profits for the "building fund," or whatever, but no ... they're not asking their fans to help them out, they're commanding the non-Chiefs-fan taxpayer to fork over because REASONS.

Boo. Fuck that. Fuck them.

When the Cardinals baseball franchise pulled that shit on me as a St. Louis-area taxpayer, my response (submitted to, but not published by, the St. Louis Post-Dispatch) was that they should at least be willing to commemorate the mugging by renaming themselves "the St. Louis Welfare Queens"), and I never bought another ticket.

My hatred for the (now Los Angeles based) Rams is based entirely on them getting a taxpayer-funded stadium in St. Louis, then fleeing the state when they couldn't get ANOTHER one while the first one was still functional.

Yeah, I know other teams do it too. But the Chiefs are supposed to be better than that.

NFL Week 15 Results

This week, I picked eight games correctly and eight games incorrectly, and dropped from the 78.7th percentile among players in ESPN's Pigskin Pick'em Game to the 77.8th percentile. Correct picks in green, incorrect picks in red:

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Atlanta Falcons
• Chicago Bears beat Cleveland Browns
• Baltimore Ravens beat Cincinnati Bengals*
• Kansas City Chiefs beat Los Angeles Chargers*
• New England Patriots beat Buffalo Bills*
• New York Giants beat Washington Commanders
• Philadelphia Eagles beat Las Vegas Raiders
• Jacksonville Jaguars beat New York Jets
• Houston Texans beat Arizona Cardinals
• Denver Broncos beat Green Bay Packers
• Detroit Lions beat Los Angeles Rams*
• Carolina Panthers  beat New Orleans Saints
• San Francisco 49ers beat Tennessee Titans
• Seattle Seahawks beat Indianapolis Colts
• Dallas Cowboys beat Minnesota Vikings
• Miami Dolphins beat Pittsburgh Steelers*

The big story of the week, of course, is that the playoffs will be Kansas-City-Chiefs-free for the first time since 2014. And even if they weren't excluded already, a season-ending injury for QB Patrick Mahomes (torn ACL) would have probably stopped them at the wild card round instead of taking them to the AFC championship game for the eighth year in a row, or the Super Bowl for the fourth year in a row.

A poor season for the Chiefs makes the NFL generally less interesting to me, but I'll continue to make picks, and to cheer for my second favorite team, the Jacksonville Jaguars.

NFL Week 15 Picks

Week 15 of the NFL season kicks off tomorrow night with the Atlanta Falcons going up against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. My picks:

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Atlanta Falcons
• Chicago Bears beat Cleveland Browns
• Baltimore Ravens beat Cincinnati Bengals*
• Kansas City Chiefs beat Los Angeles Chargers*
• New England Patriots beat Buffalo Bills*
• New York Giants beat Washington Commanders
• Philadelphia Eagles beat Las Vegas Raiders
• Jacksonville Jaguars beat New York Jets
• Houston Texans beat Arizona Cardinals
• Denver Broncos beat Green Bay Packers
• Detroit Lions beat Los Angeles Rams*
• Carolina Panthers  beat Los Angeles Rams
• San Francisco 49ers beat Tennessee Titans
• Seattle Seahawks beat Indianapolis Colts
• Dallas Cowboys beat Minnesota Vikings
• Miami Dolphins beat Pittsburgh Steelers*

"Upset" picks --  predicted outcomes that go against the majority picks among those playing ESPN's Pigskin Pick'em game as of the time I make my picks -- are marked with asterisks. If I change any picks, I will do so before the games in question kick off and clearly mark changes as changes in updates to this post.