Tuesday, January 31, 2023
Dog Bites Man: Yes, Ron DeSantis is Still a Careerist Authoritarian Swamp Creature
Computer Update ...
Wordle 591 Hint
Hint: If you're not already on the sunny side of the street, do this.
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First Letter: C
Monday, January 30, 2023
Why I'm Not Blogging Much About Politics at the Moment
Super Bowl Pick
I went 50/50 for the conference championship round -- I had the 49ers picked to beat the Eagles and they took a drubbing instead, but the Chiefs did finally beat the Bengals (after losing three in a row, including last season's AFC championship, to them).
More on all that below, but first my Super Bowl pick:
Kansas City Chiefs beat Philadelphia Eagles -- 100%
While I picked half the games correctly this weekend, I lost 100 points in the FiveThirtyEight NFL Forecasting Game because I gave each of my picks 100% chance of winning. So I gained 50 points on the Chiefs win but lost 150 points on the Eagles win. That leaves me with a season total of 327.2 points, in the top 23% of players.
Why did the Eagles beat the 49ers? Well, let's be honest: It was kind of a coin toss anyway. Both teams are great teams.
But third-string 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy -- who won his first five NFL games and took the 49ers two games deep into the playoffs -- got his elbow injured early in the game.
Then their fourth-string quarterback, Josh Johnson, took a nasty hit that immediately put him off the field and into concussion protocol. After briefly flirting with using running back Christian McCaffrey as their fifth-string quarterback, they put Purdy back in (for one thing, McCaffrey is their principal non-quarterback weapon), but damn ... with those handicaps, it's a miracle that the final score was "only" 31-7. And it really should have been 24-7. The Eagles were given the ball by terrible officiating and a complete bullshit roughing the kicker call on San Francisco.
Speaking of bad officiating, referees took a touchdown away from the Chiefs on a bad call that got challenged and affirmed despite being obviously and indisputably incorrect, then decided to treat an incomplete Patrick Mahomes pass as a fumble, giving the ball to the Bengals. That put the Chiefs in the position of having to win with a last-minute field goal (which is how the Chiefs/Bengals games generally seem to go regardless of who wins).
If they hadn't been robbed of that touchdown and settled for a field goal, they'd have ceteris paribus been up by four points before that field goal, and who knows what might have happened if the refs hadn't faked a fumble as well? And that field goal would have been an iffy thing if not for an unnecessary roughness foul by the Bengals on the last Chiefs drive, which got them 15 yards closer.
Which is not to say that the Bengals played poorly. They played an excellent game. It may have been the venue -- Arrowhead stadium, where crowd noise accounted for at least one delay of game penalty when the Bengals couldn't hear the play call -- that made the difference.
I don't know if I will bother playing this forecasting game, or following NFL football, next year. I'm undecided. One major factor in my football enthusiasm has been that my brother, Mike, was all about football, and following it closely gave me many opportunities to get on the phone and shoot the shit with him. As I've mentioned here, he died a week ago last Wednesday. I've continued watching because he was a king-hell Chiefs fan and I'd like to see a new set of Chiefs Super Bowl rings as part of, in my mind, his memorial. I guess we'll see.
Wordle 590 Hint
Hint: Trying to solve today's Wordle? You gotta really, really want it!
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First Letter: C
Sunday, January 29, 2023
Wordle 589 Hint
Hint: Today's Wordle makes me suspicious in a smelly way.
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First Letter: F
Saturday, January 28, 2023
Wordle 588 Hint
Hint: If you want to catch today's Wordle, let it know you like it -- but do so in a coquettish manner.
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Friday, January 27, 2023
Wordle 587 Hint
Hint: Don't do this. Instead, be happy.
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Thursday, January 26, 2023
Week 21 NFL Picks
Well, it's down to four teams and two conference championships.
Last week there were four games (the divisional round of the post-season). I picked all four correctly for 200 points, for a to-date score of 427.2 points, putting me in the top 20% of players in the FiveThirtyEight NFL Forecasting Game.
FiveThirtyEight's model has outperformed me for the season in a big way (it has 1003.2 total points), but the model blew the Bengals/Bills game for a loss of 32 points and gave the winners it picked lower odds than me (I went 100% on every game) and only racked up 70.4 points for the week.
So, this week's picks:
AFC Championship: Kansas City Chiefs beat Cincinnati Bengals -- 100%
NFC Championship: San Francisco 49ers beat Philadelphia Eagles -- 100%*
The asterisk indicates that FiveThirtyEight's model disagrees with me -- it gives the Eagles a 59% chance of winning. And while we agree on the Chiefs/Bengals games, the model only gives KC a 58% chance.
I'm going 100% to either move up in the rankings or go out in a blaze of glory.
I agree that the Eagles are the obvious choice in the NFC championship, but I kinda believe the stars have aligned for rookie third-string quarterback Brock Purdy. The 49ers have one 12 straight games. Purdy has won all five NFL games he's played in ... ever. And the 49ers are a strong team all around, with a fantastic defense and getting even stronger on offense with the acquisition of running back Christian McCaffrey from the Carolina Panthers in October (he's on the injured list, game status "unspecified," as are some others, but the Eagles' injury list is even bigger and includes several defensive ends). This pick is all feelz, but the feelz are strong.
OMG. Chiefs vs. Bengals. Again.
And four key KC players -- quarterback Patrick Mahomes, running back Jerick McKinnon with ankle sprains, outside linebacker Willie Gay Jr. with a toe injury, and wide receiver Mecole Hardman with a pelvis injury -- are on the injured list, all "unspecified" as to game status.
No matter how bad that ankle is, Mahomes will play if Andy Reid lets him play ... and Andy Reid will let him play. If his movement is limited, he'll likely be leaning harder than usual on running back Isiah Pacheco to move the ball on the ground, and tight end Travis Kelse to take short passes instead of spending time limping around going for the long bombs. Which, if that is clicking, will result in longer, more time-consuming drives and less time with Bengals QB Joe Burrow in possession of the ball on offense.
The Bengals have a longer injury list, but they're still formidable opponents and they seem to have the Chiefs' number, beating them three times in a row, this year (including last season's conference championship).
At least the Chiefs have home field advantage. Arrowhead Stadium may not quite be a twelfth player on the field, but it's a huge supportive crowd that's been known to trigger false starts by opponents with well-timed fan loudness (it's the loudest stadium in the NFL).
But this call is still a matter of feelz ... and faith. When it comes to football, the Chiefs are my religion.
I guess we'll see how it goes, right?
Wordle 586 Hint
Hint: Today's Wordle is delicious, but it doesn't taste like chicken.
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Wednesday, January 25, 2023
Wordle 585 Hint
Hint: I'm not an especially sentimental guy, but today's Wordle felt really corny.
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Tuesday, January 24, 2023
The Rest is Just Details
Scripture is so clear and strong on the question of homosexuality that I could not stay in a denomination that treated the question of same-sex marriage as a matter of local opinion. Whether you are pro-SSM or anti-SSM, it is a very big deal, for what the practice says about the authority of Scripture and the Bible's teaching about what sex is, what marriage and married love is for, and indeed what it means to be a man or a woman created in God's image. It's such a big issue that I simply cannot see Christians agreeing to disagree within the same communion, as if something so central to Christian life was ancillary to the real work of the Church.
25 And, behold, a certain lawyer stood up, and tempted him, saying, Master, what shall I do to inherit eternal life?26 He said unto him, What is written in the law? how readest thou?27 And he answering said, Thou shalt love the Lord thy God with all thy heart, and with all thy soul, and with all thy strength, and with all thy mind; and thy neighbour as thyself.28 And he said unto him, Thou hast answered right: this do, and thou shalt live.
18 Verily I say unto you, Whatsoever ye shall bind on earth shall be bound in heaven: and whatsoever ye shall loose on earth shall be loosed in heaven.19 Again I say unto you, That if two of you shall agree on earth as touching any thing that they shall ask, it shall be done for them of my Father which is in heaven.20 For where two or three are gathered together in my name, there am I in the midst of them.
Wordle 584 Hint
Hint: Dracula was one of these, and Five made a band.
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Monday, January 23, 2023
Wordle 583 Hint
Hint: If you're not careful, today's Wordle may slip your pursuit.
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Sunday, January 22, 2023
Wordle 582 Hint
Hint: Wordle must be running low on words to resort to this cutesy Britishism for "friend."
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Saturday, January 21, 2023
Wordle 581 Hint
Hint: Once you've solved today's Wordle, you should promote my daily Wordle hints to your friends with a short, punchy description.
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Friday, January 20, 2023
Wordle 580 Hint
Hint: Today's Wordle might change your life, or at least strongly affect your ego.
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Thursday, January 19, 2023
I Consider Myself Pretty Thick-Skinned, So If I'm Annoyed I Can Only Guess How This Affects More Sensitive People
There's No Easy Way to Say These Things
Last night, my brother Mike collapsed and was rushed to the hospital with what turned out to be a massive brain bleed.
A couple of hours ago, I spoke with a doctor who informed me he was not expected to survive.
A few minutes ago, I spoke with his wife, Pam, who was preparing to say goodbye before they removed the breathing tube.
When I was a child, he was my biggest hero.
That's never changed.
Wordle 579 Hint
Hint: I can't believe they chose such a filthy Wordle.
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Wednesday, January 18, 2023
Wordle 578 Hint
Hint: Like kale or spinach, but "Swiss."
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Tuesday, January 17, 2023
Week 20 NFL Picks
In Week 19 -- "Wildcard Week" -- I picked five of six games correctly (no matter what I expect them to do, it seems like the Vikings always f*ck me), for a net gain of 100 points in the FiveThirtyEight NFL Forecasting Game. I'm currently in the top 26% of players.
Week 20 is the "Divisional Round," and once again I'm going big with all "100% to win/lose, go big or go out in a blaze of glory" picks:
Kansas City Chiefs beat Jacksonville Jaguars -- 100%
Philadelphia Eagles beat New York Giants -- 100%
Cincinnati Bengals beat Buffalo Bills -- 100%*
San Francisco 49ers beat Dallas Cowboys -- 100%
I agree with the FiveThirtyEight model (on outcome, not percentage) on all of those games except the Bengals/Bills matchup.
Of course, I always bet 100% Chiefs, but even if that wasn't the case I'd pick them to beat the Jaguars. The Jags are my second most liked team this year. I've really enjoyed watching them completely turn things around in one season. They are building a formidable franchise. But they're going up against Pat Mahomes, at Andy Reid's house. And the Chiefs had a bye week and will be tanned, rested, and ready. No shame -- the Jags are just out-classed ... for the moment.
The Eagles/Giants game and the 49ers/Cowboys game are similar to each other: Reliable winners who grind out victories on a regular basis, versus teams who've had the moxie to make it into the post-season and past the wildcard round, but who ... well, don't always really show up. This is the big show. You can't half-ass it and expect to beat the Eagles or the 49ers.
Which leaves the Bengals versus the Bills. Most of the experts seem to have the Bills winning this one. Why don't I?
The Bills have home-field advantage, but have been playing better on the road than at home.
The Bills should have had an easy time against the Miami Dolphins -- who were playing their third-string quarterback -- this weekend, but ended up barely pulling the thing off.
And say what you want about the Bills' morale bounce-back after Damar Hamlin went down in cardiac arrest on the field ... the Bengals are the team who did that to them, while already up in the game, and now they're coming to Buffalo. Yes, it was just one of those crazy one-in-a-million accidents, but it happened and I think it will have at least some effect on Buffalo's team morale/confidence/energy.
This is my head, not my heart, talking. Frankly, I'd rather the Chiefs faced the Bills than the Bengals in the AFC championship game. But I think the Bengals will pull this one off.
Of course, I could change my mind. And if I do, I will do so before kickoff, and explain in an update to this post.
Wordle 577 Hint
Hint: People might do this with a child, a pet, or a resolution.
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Monday, January 16, 2023
Garden, Version [I Forgot What Number I Was On]
- red potatoes; and
- yellow onions
Wordle 576 Hint
Hint: These days, if this word is used at all, it usually refers to a woman's dress. But in older days it was used to describe other loose garments as well.
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Sunday, January 15, 2023
Wordle 575 Hint
Hint: Depending on what prefix you stick in front of it, today's word might involve 1) breaking a sweat while 2) seeking to 3) motivate someone else.
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Saturday, January 14, 2023
Wordle 574 Hint
Hint: What? You thought you saw a bear? You didn't see a bear. You're in Australia, mate. We don't have bears here!
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Friday, January 13, 2023
Follow-Up on My Impending Demise
It Does Rattle My Cage a Little, But Austrian Economics Saves the Day IMO
Value is thus nothing inherent in goods, no property of them, nor an independent thing existing by itself. It is a judgment economizing men make about the importance of the goods at their disposal for the maintenance of their lives and well-being. Hence value does not exist outside the consciousness of men.
Wordle 573 Hint
Hint: Trouble with today's Wordle? Don't let it get you down -- after all, you're only this.
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Thursday, January 12, 2023
Wordle 572 Hint
Hint: You can probably remember at least one instance in which you wish you'd have looked before you did this.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2023
An Unintended but Welcome Consequence of Purchasing the ATOPNUC Mini PC
- Email the files to myself so that I can download the latest versions to the computer I'm switching to;
- Upload the files to Google Drive or whatever and download them to the computer I'm switching to; or
- Copy the files to a USB drive and plug it into the computer I'm switching to.
An Area Where I Hate to Make Sound Suggestions
Wordle 571 Hint
Hint: Could be a car, could be a chair, could be a town in France.
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Tuesday, January 10, 2023
Wordle 570 Hint
Hint: Today's answer isn't a dirty trick, but it is dirty.
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Monday, January 09, 2023
Week 19 NFL Picks
Jacksonville Jaguars beat Los Angeles Chargers -- 100%
Buffalo Bills beat Miami Dolphins -- 100%
Cincinnati Bengals beat Baltimore Ravens -- 100%
Dallas Cowboys beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- 100%
Wordle 569 Hint
Hint: Today's answer could be a fairy, a hairstyle, or a band member.
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Sunday, January 08, 2023
Wordle 568 Hint
Hint: Today's Wordle will make some people think of musical theatre and others think of browsing the web.
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Saturday, January 07, 2023
Wordle 567 Hint
Hint: If today's Wordle was a car, you might try to return it for a refund.
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Friday, January 06, 2023
ATOPNUC Mini PC, OS, and Password Manager Updates
- Unlimited passwords on the free version.
- Unlimited devices on the free version.
- Runs from a browser extension without having to install an app on the computer (that's what I don't like about NordPass).
Wordle 566 Hint
Hint: Today's Wordle gives a false impression of itself and is one letter short of evoking faith.
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Thursday, January 05, 2023
I'm Auditioning Password Managers ...
I Think I May Wait for the WB/Volvo Product
Japan's Sony on Wednesday unveiled a prototype of the new "Afeela" electric vehicles it will build together with Honda, saying it would harness its vast entertainment content as it looks to become a player in next-generation cars. Sony's long-awaited push into electric vehicles -- it announced the venture with Honda in March -- shows how manufacturers are increasingly focused on the cockpit experience in cars, which offers the potential to sell content via subscription services cars, especially as autonomous driving capabilities improve.
Presumably there's a time coming, and soon, when you'll be able to get in your car and binge the latest Marvel epics, or re-watch the James Bond ouvre while it takes you from Dallas to Durango.
Or, if you've got outstanding warrants, directly to jail without passing go or collecting the $200 per billing period you'll need to pay for the entertainment package.
Wordle 565 Hint
Hint: Use your polishing and buffing skills to reach today's lustrous Wordle result.
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Wednesday, January 04, 2023
You Might Think You Could Easily Find Something That Was Everywhere Just a Few Short Years Ago, But You'd Be Wrong
Dark Horse for Speaker Proposal
Week 18 NFL Picks
Jacksonville Jaguars beat Tennessee Titans -- 100%
Cincinnati Bengals beat Baltimore Ravens -- 71%
Carolina Panthers beat New Orleans Saints -- 53%*
Pittsburgh Steelers beat Cleveland Browns -- 53%
Indianapolis Colts beat Houston Texans -- 71%
Minnesota Vikings beat Chicago Bears -- 100%
New England Patriots beat Buffalo Bills -- 53%*
Miami Dolphins beat New York Jets -- 53%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Atlanta Falcons -- 53%*
San Francisco 49ers beat Arizona Cardinals -- 100%
Dallas Cowboys beat Washington Commanders -- 100%
Los Angeles Chargers beat Denver Broncos -- 61%
Seattle Seahawks beat Los Angeles Rams -- 71%
Philadelphia Eagles beat New York Giants -- 100%
Detroit Lions beat Green Bay Packers -- 53%*
ATOPNUC Mini PC: Impressions After One Full (More or Less) Day of Use
Wordle 564 Hint
Hint: We do this with cakes -- and, when it's cold out, clothing.
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Tuesday, January 03, 2023
An NFL Prediction ...
... not apropos of Buffalo Bill defensive back Dakar Hamlin's collapse on the field last night. That seems to have been a "remarkably rare" case of getting hit a certain way at a certain time, causing ventricular fibrillation. Hamlin received CPR on the field before being hauled off to a hospital, and the game was suspended.
The bigger elephant in the NFL room is Chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE), a degenerative neurological condition caused by getting hit on the head too hard and/or too many times.
A lot of NFL players (and football players in general) end up with CTE because that's what happens when 22 large, muscular guys attack each other for a full hour (of game time), week after week, 18 weeks a year, every year (not including pre- and post-season play and practice play).
Recently, the NFL has instituted a "concussion protocol" to get players off the field if they're suspected of having had a concussion, and keep them off the field until they've had time to heal.
Naturally, concussions and CTE are related. Sub-concussive brain trauma can contribute to CTE, but concussion is especially bad.
There are always a few NFL players out of action on "concussion protocol," but the poster boy for it at the moment is Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. He's out for a second time this season with concussion, and there were revisions to the protocol after the first time, as it appears he may have been concussed the game before he went down on the field.
My prediction: At some point, and probably fairly soon, the NFL is going to institute a concussion cap.
That is: If you are an NFL player and have been diagnosed with concussion X times (and perhaps a lower Y number times within a short period):
You. Are. Retired.
The players aren't going to like the idea. They're football players because playing football is what they do. You don't get to the NFL because football's a hobby you enjoy. You get to the NFL because you dedicate most, if not all, of your life to it. They love the game. They love being part of the team. They love winning. They love getting paid.
The fans aren't going to like the idea. It's going to involuntarily retire some of their favorite players at the heights of their careers and abilities.
NFL and team management/coaching aren't going to like the idea. They put lots of time and lots of money into finding and coaching up the players who can take them to the Promised Land.
But you know who else won't like the idea? Personal injury lawyers. They love taking organizations with deep pockets to court and walking away with piles of money. And sooner or later, they're going to start taking money from NFL teams and the NFL itself.
Which means that, at some point, the NFL/owners are going to sit down with the Players Association and hammer out a deal. That deal will include some kind of insurance that provides a decent retirement for players who are forced out of the game. It will also include specific numbers/types of injuries that exceed the cap, and probably a board of final appeal, etc. And it will be made as airtight as possible against litigation.
Could I be wrong? Yeah. But I'm not. And you probably read it here first.
That There is Some Pretty Good Unsolicited PR
Per NBC News: "Two children and two adults survive after Tesla plunges 250 feet off California cliff."
Tag line: "The two rescued adults suffered 'non-life-threatening injuries,' and the two children were unharmed, according to the San Mateo Sheriff's Office."
Then again, "[I]t's not clear what caused the car to go over the cliff." But if that part isn't the car's fault, it sure makes Tesla look good.
It's Here, But There Are Delays
- Booted right up -- and pretty fast.
- In the past, I've not been a fan of Ubuntu (the preinstalled OS), but I may end up giving it an extended test drive, or at least keep it as part of a dual-boot system. I'd like to do some rearranging of the default desktop/dock stuff, at a minimum, but it seems to run well.
- No obvious problems, other than it not recognizing one particular USB drive (which may be a problem with the drive). I haven't tried it with dual monitors yet, just messed with it on one screen then put it back into the box until I have time to really futz with things.
- I ran it straight from an outlet rather than from my solar power station, so I don't know how it is on power usage just yet.
Wordle 563 Hint
Hint: Is today's Wordle some kind of prank?
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