I lost 31.8 points in week 18 of the NFL season, with 10 of 16 games picked correctly (did anyone think the Lions would beat the Packers or the Jaguars would beat the Colts?), but I'm still performing better than 71% of players in FiveThirtyEight's NFL Forecasting Game with a running total of 171.9 points (FiveThirtyEight's model has definitely pulled itself up by the bootstraps after a poor start, racking up 503.8 points).
My picks for this week:
The Cincinnati Bengals will beat the Oakland Raiders (79% likely).
The Buffalo Bills will beat the New England Patriots (79% likely).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will beat the Philadelphia Eagles (91% likely).
The Dallas Cowboys will beat the San Francisco 49ers (78% likely
The Kansas City Chiefs will beat the Pittsburgh Steelers (100%).
And, my one upset prediction (versus the FiveThirtyEight model's pick): The Arizona Cardinals will beat the Los Angeles Rams. But I only give that pick a 53% likelihood.
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