I'm playing FiveThirtyEight's NFL forecasting game.
In week #1 results, I racked up 69.9 points for my predictions (better than 99% of players -- 62nd place out of 4,764 players), while FiveThirtyEight's model came in at -36.3 points. I picked 11 of the 16 outcomes correctly. FiveThirtyEight picked six. Each of the games that I blew, FiveThirtyEight blew as well. But they blew twice as many as I did.
Unfortunately, I don't really have a model. I just went with my gut. But hey, if it keeps working, I'll stick with it!
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