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Saturday, September 30, 2023

A Plan for Democratic Victory in Next Year's Presidential Election

Not that I want the Democrats to win, mind you. But they could. It would take three things happening:

  1. Travis Kelce marries Taylor Swift;
  2. Joe Biden invites the couple to the White House; where
  3. Biden announces that he's bowing out and endorsing one of the two for the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination.

Kelce turns 35 the month before the election. He was born in Ohio and seems to have been 14 years resident in the United States. So he'll be constitutionally qualified.

Swift will turn 35 before the inauguration, and is also otherwise qualified (the Constitution specifies eligibility "to the office," not eligibility for "election to the office"). So it would really be up to them which would be president and which would be either VP or First Spouse.

Personally I'd prefer Swift for president and Kelce as First Husband, so that the Chiefs wouldn't lose the greatest tight end in the history of football. But that's just me.

Wordle 833 Hint

Hint: Father, in 3D.


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First Letter: D

Friday, September 29, 2023

Wordle 832 Hint

Hint: Today's Wordle may give you the blues -- but they'll be bright blues like the sky on a sunny day.


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First Letter: A

Thursday, September 28, 2023

I Don't Think It's Vivek Ramaswamy ...

... who's making Nikki Haley continuously dumber. Seems more like some kind of progressive neurological malady.

Her rant on the subject of TikTok last night was Jack D. Ripper level unhinged. I don't want anyone, from any party, to control the nuclear "football," but she's now demonstrated beyond any shadow of doubt (if there ever was any doubt) that she shouldn't be allowed within a thousand miles of it.



Wordle 831 Hint

 

Hint: A type of vehicle -- especially for Craig T. Nelson.


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First Letter: C

Wednesday, September 27, 2023

NFL Week 4 Picks

As posted at ESPN's Pigskin Pick'em site (straight picks, no spreads, etc., and I've created a group for those who would like to play along with me):

  • Detroit Lions beat Green Bay Packers
  • Jacksonville Jaguars beat Atlanta Falcons
  • Miami Dolphins beat Buffalo Bills
  • Denver Broncos beat Chicago Bears
  • Cleveland Browns beat Baltimore Ravens*
  • Cincinnati Bengals beat Tennessee Titans
  • Indianapolis Colts beat Los Angeles Rams*
  • New Orleans Saints beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Philadelphia Eagles beat Washington Commanders
  • Minnesota Vikings beat Carolina Panthers
  • Pittsburgh Steelers beat Houston Texans
  • Las Vegas Raiders beat Los Angeles Chargers*
  • Dallas Cowboys beat New England Patriots
  • San Francisco 49ers beat Arizona Cardinals
  • Kansas City Chiefs beat New York Jets
  • New York Giants beat Seattle Seahawks*

Asterisks indicate "upset" picks -- that is, my pick disagreed with the majority of players as of the time I made it (I may swing back to see if there are any changes to that status). Any changes will be made prior to kickoff and be noted in updates to this post. Coming into Week 4 I am at 29 right, 19 wrong for the season.


Wordle 830 Hint

Hint: This unfinished Beach Boys album eventually mutated into a Brian Wilson solo project.


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First Letter: S

Tuesday, September 26, 2023

NFL Week 3 Outcomes

My picks (posted here), with "Tom was right" picks in green and "Tom was wrong" picks in red:

  • San Francisco 49ers beat New York Giants
  • Tennessee Titans beat Cleveland Browns*
  • Detroit Lions beat Atlanta Falcons
  • New Orleans Saints beat Green Bay Packers
  • Miami Dolphins beat Denver Broncos
  • Minnesota Vikings beat Los Angeles Chargers
  • New York Jets beat New England Patriots*
  • Washington Commanders beat Buffalo Bills*
  • Jacksonville Jaguars beat Houston Texans
  • Baltimore Ravens beat Indianapolis Colts
  • Seattle Seahawks beat Carolina Panthers
  • Kansas City Chiefs beat Chicago Bears
  • Dallas Cowboys beat Arizona Cardinals
  • Pittsburgh Steelers beat Las Vegas Raiders
  • Philadelphia Eagles beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Los Angeles Rams beat Cincinnati Bengals*

 

Wow, look at all that red! After only keeping a lazy eye on the games over the weekend and hearing all those bad picks, I'm surprised that I still went 9-7!

Once again I picked four "upsets" ... but instead of going 3 for 4 on them, I went 0 for 4.

And where I went with the majority, well, I think pretty much everyone was surprised when the Cardinals beat the Cowboys and the Texans beat the Jaguars (the losers were, respectively, 98% and 97% picks in ESPN's PigSkin Pick'Em  game.

This week badly damaged my standing in that game. I'm now 29-19 for the season, ranked 158,567th among players, and only in the 84th percentile. But if I had bet $1 per pick on each game, straight up and no spread, even odds, I'd still be up $10 for the season.

I'll try to do better in Week 4.

Wordle 829 Hint

Hint: Today's Wordle will never betray you.


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First Letter: L

Monday, September 25, 2023

Wordle 828 Hint

Hint: According to a popular bluegrass tune, the name of this Tennessee "Top" reflects why corn won't grow there.


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First Letter: R

Sunday, September 24, 2023

Not Really An Objection ...

... but only because I happen to like ads in streaming video of movie or TV episode length:

Starting early next year, Amazon plans to add advertisements to Prime Video, although the company said it aims to have “meaningfully fewer” commercials than its competitors. ... U.S. customers who want to keep the ad-free viewing experience will need to pay an additional $2.99 per month.

I like ads in streaming video of movie or TV episode length because they're a nice bathroom/snack-grabbing/discussion break. I don't have to decide when's a good time to pause, I just wait for the commercial break.

Otherwise, I'd have to reconsider my Amazon Prime subscription. I'd probably end up keeping it -- the last time I ran an analysis of how much it saved me in shipping costs per year, it was still a huge net gain -- but it pisses me off a little that after a 17% price increase last year, they want to start charging me extra for not screwing with something that comes with the program this year.

Wordle 827 Hint

Hint: To keep and bear arms is one of these. So is saying that.


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First Letter: R

Nothing Applicable Except the Title, Really ...

The first post on this blog went up 19 years ago today. It was an excerpt from an link to a review of Gmail on the long-since defunct Epinions. So I guess it's time for some Steely Dan.



Saturday, September 23, 2023

CFTC: Big Players Can Bet On Elections, Regular People Can't

From today's Morning Brew (that is an affiliate link, and I earn swag by referring "free" newsletter subscribers -- I think my next acquisition will be a backpack):

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) rejected a proposal yesterday from the online financial exchange Kalshi for offering cash bets on US House or Senate elections. ... [CFTC chair Rostin] Behnam claimed election betting reduces "key facets of the democratic process to a source of revenue for some, fascination and entertainment for others."

Every company making campaign contributions is already placing bets on election outcomes for the express purpose of making the US government into (or keeping it as) a "source of revenue."

And elections are already a "source of ... fascination and entertainment" for lots of regular people.

Why should those regular people be forbidden to place honest, open bets on election outcomes for profit/entertainment purposes, while Very Special Important people are allowed to make such bets in the guise of campaign contributions and lobbying expenditures?

Wordle 826 Hint

Hint: Want to snack while solving today's Wordle? Ask a friend or neighbor to bring you some figgy pudding. And deliver your request in tune.


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First Letter: C

Friday, September 22, 2023

Wordle 825 Hint

Hint: As grooming tools go, today's Wordle is generally not of the fine-toothed variety.


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First Letter: B

Thursday, September 21, 2023

Wordle 824 Hint

Hint: Today's Wordle is both a biblical method of public execution, and the weapon used to accomplish it.


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First Letter: S

Wednesday, September 20, 2023

NFL Week 3 Picks

As posted at ESPN's Pigskin Pick'em site (straight picks, no spreads, etc., and I've created a group for those who would like to play along with me):

  • San Francisco 49ers beat New York Giants
  • Tennessee Titans beat Cleveland Browns*
  • Detroit Lions beat Atlanta Falcons
  • New Orleans Saints beat Green Bay Packers
  • Miami Dolphins beat Denver Broncos
  • Minnesota Vikings beat Los Angeles Chargers
  • New York Jets beat New England Patriots*
  • Washington Commanders beat Buffalo Bills*
  • Jacksonville Jaguars beat Houston Texans
  • Baltimore Ravens beat Indianapolis Colts
  • Seattle Seahawks beat Carolina Panthers
  • Kansas City Chiefs beat Chicago Bears
  • Dallas Cowboys beat Arizona Cardinals
  • Pittsburgh Steelers beat Las Vegas Raiders
  • Philadelphia Eagles beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Los Angeles Rams beat Cincinnati Bengals*

Asterisks indicate "upset" picks -- that is, my pick disagreed with the majority of players as of the time I made it (if I have time, I may swing back to see if that's changed, and change asterisks accordingly -- but any changes to the picks as listed will be prior to kickoff and noted in an update here).

Once again, I've picked four "upsets." The pick most likely to change at this point is the Rams vs. the Bengals. Burrow's injury is clearly a huge problem for the Bengals, and as others have said, he and the team would probably be best off if he sat a couple of weeks out to let it fully heal instead of continuing to aggravate it while trying to play through it. If he decides to do that, I'll have a look at his backup quarterback's reputation and possibly reverse myself.

For various reasons, I am bullish on the Commanders and Titans, not very impressed with the Bills so far this year, and think the Patriots are on a downhill slide at the moment.

Update, Saturday evening: Well, I picked the Thursday game correctly, but so did most people.

For Sunday, I'm sticking with the Chiefs vs. the Bears, but the Chiefs do have a lot of key players on the "out" or "questionable" end of the injury list. Hopefully that won't knock them off kilter.

I'm also sticking with the Rams vs. the Bengals. The Bengals have a total injury list of only two, but one of those two is quarterback Joe Burrow, who's listed as "questionable" and was clearly having problems the first two games (the other is tight end Irv Smith, Jr., who came over from the Vikings between seasons; he's listed as "doubtful"). I think the Bengals are in bad shape until Burrow recovers.

So, no changes yet, and I doubt there will be any before the kickoffs tomorrow.

Wordle 823 Hint

Hint: A kind of trap, or a kind of drum.


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First Letter: S

Tuesday, September 19, 2023

Unlike Some, I'm Not Outraged ...

... that Elon Musk claims he's going to transition X (formerly known as Twitter) to a "paying customers only" platform.

I do think the whole idea is incredibly stupid. Just like I thought him buying the platform in the first place was dumb (and wrote about that at the time).

Supposedly it's about making it harder for bots to infest the platform, but I suspect the cost of building better bot detectors/terminators would be far less than the ad revenue losses from yet another reduction in active user base.

But that's his call to make. Any parting of the ways will be, so far as I'm concerned, amicable. If I don't generate enough ad revenue for him to be happy to have me there, and if I'm not willing to pay out of pocket to be there, no biggie.

NFL Week 2 Outcomes

My picks (posted here), with "Tom was right" picks in green and "Tom was wrong" picks in red:

  • Philadelphia Eagles beat Minnesota Vikings
  • Green Bay Packers beat Atlanta Falcons
  • Buffalo Bills beat Las Vegas Raiders
  • Cincinnati Bengals beat Baltimore Ravens
  • Detroit Lions beat Seattle Seahawks
  • Tennessee Titans beat Los Angeles Chargers*
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Chicago Bears
  • Kansas City Chiefs beat Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Houston Texans beat Indianapolis Colts*
  • San Francisco 49ers beat Los Angeles Rams
  • New York Giants beat Arizona Cardinals
  • Dallas Cowboys beat New York Jets
  • Washington Commanders beat Denver Broncos*
  • Miami Dolphins beat New England Patriots
  • New Orleans Saints beat Carolina Panthers
  • Pittsburgh Steelers beat Cleveland Browns*

I'd say 12-4 is pretty good. And of the four "upsets" I predicted (defined as going against the majority picks as of the time I made them), I got three right!

I'm doing my picks at ESPN's PigSkin Pick'Em. I'm in the 98.5 percentile for accuracy there and rank 14,47th with an overall record of 22-10. I've set up a group that you can join if you'd like to see how your predictions stack up against mine (and those of other people who join the group).

Wordle 822 Hint

Hint: Today's Wordle could mean "near," "shut," or "conclude."


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First Letter: C

Monday, September 18, 2023

It's Been Real, It's Been Fun, It's Even Been Real Fun ... But I'm Done

My term on the Gainesville-Alachua County Bicycle/Pedestrian Advisory Board expires at the end of October.

The next scheduled meeting of the BPAB is in November.

The practice is that unless I've let them know I'm resigning, I'm considered a member until they name a replacement or I ask to be, and am, reappointed

Which means that if I just stop showing up without resigning, they could have a quorum problem.

So I sent my resignation note (effective October 31) in the other day.

I enjoyed the experience. As for how much good I accomplished, I can't say.

It's an "advisory board," which means that all we do is recommend things to the Gainesville City Commission and the Alachua County Commission.

What we usually recommend is heavily based on the staff recommendations of the Gainesville Urbanized Area Metropolitan Transportation Planning Organization, which is a body responsible for turning federal funding into actual things -- roads, road improvements, sidewalk, bike trails, etc.

I am pleased to report that the board doesn't always just look at the staff recommendation and rubber-stamp it. We're more likely to amend the staff recommendation than just pass it outright. "That item calls for a stoplight. A traffic circle makes more sense." Or "this pedestrian crosswalk proposal covers every intersection except one in that area, that one should be included too." That kind of thing. But the board does actually look at the staff recommendations, question them, and sometimes decide they're deficient.

There was a fairly recent debate on which my decision could plausibly be described as "from the left."

The debate involved the staff recommendation on an item for the 2050 (yes, you read that right) transportation plan, which basically came down to "widen Archer Road out in the county west of Gainesville."

The rationale: Suburban sprawl is continuing to move in that direction, lots of the people living in that sprawl commute to and from Gainesville on a daily basis, and it's going to take fatter pipes to accommodate all ever-increasing that auto traffic.

My position was that we (the board making the recommendation) shouldn't just take increased auto traffic as some kind of automatic never-ending phenomenon. While I didn't get into every point below, I did get through some of them, and at one point I was told by another board member that we need to be "realistic" about future traffic needs. He didn't say I was being utopian, but it was strongly implied. 

My points (I can't remember which ones I got to in the debate):

  • We keep hearing about low fertility rates and eventual population decline. It's not obvious that, 27 years from now, there will be as many people needing to get from Point A to Point B as there now. And it's not just population decline ...
  •  Home delivery of goods -- Amazon, Instacarts, etc. -- has exploded over the last decade. Which means that instead of eight cars/pickups/SUVs going to the grocery store and back or whatever, there are often two vans delivering to all eight households.
  • Self-driving cars aren't quite "here" yet in a big way, but they're coming. It's very possible that future developments, especially of the "senior friendly" variety, will offer, as part of their package, sharing of X number of self-driving cars per Y households, but at least notionally conditioned on carpooling to the major area employer (University of Florida) so that you have four people in one car instead of four people in four cars.
  • Fewer people are driving for "entertainment." It's streamed directly to their households now.
  • While the "15-minute city" idea is controversial, over the last decade and more I've seen developers building small equivalents -- developments with mixed house/apartment/condo options and a "main street" with a small grocery store, perhaps a doctor/dentist/pharmacy office or two, a couple of restaurants/pubs.There's one fairly near my home that's neither in my price range nor really my cup of tea (I'd prefer to live WAY out in the country, far enough from neighbors to never see them unless it was intentional), like that. But if I was retired and did live in a place like that, I might well go "to town" once a month or so instead of several times a week.
  • Part of the plan involved a dedicated lane for the local government transit service's buses. While I'm against government-provided mass transit, if it's going to be there, why encourage people to not use it by making the road fat enough that they can drive the Hummer or Escalade into town instead without undue delays?
  • Developers expecting the gummint to just build more and fatter roads to make their developments more attractive to commuters is an externality. Instead of federal funding, why aren't the developers being hit up to cover the costs of wide roads built expressly for their customers' convenience?

 

One of the main arguments against my position, other than the "you're not being realistic" bit, is kind of particular to coastal areas: When there's a hurricane coming, the roads get full of cars trying to GTFO (residents fleeing) or GTFI (utility workers, emergency services, etc.). And Archer Road is a sort of main artery connecting much of the rural Gulf Coast to Interstate Highway 75. That does make sense.

I guess I may have come off as a little bit hippy dippy doo there, but I think I'm right -- even if not on anything else, on contesting the assumption that everything 27 years from now will look just like it looks now, only bigger and busier.

Wordle 821 Hint

Hint: "Hot dog!" said the congressman. "I don't have to pay for postage!"


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First Letter: F

Sunday, September 17, 2023

Wordle 820 Hint

Hint: Julie Andrews heard this sound circa 1965.


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First Letter: M

Saturday, September 16, 2023

(Some) Modern Christians vs. Christ

(Some) Modern Christians:

20230916_140009
 

Christ (according to Matthew 6:5-6):

And when thou prayest, thou shalt not be as the hypocrites are: for they love to pray standing in the synagogues and in the corners of the streets, that they may be seen of men. Verily I say unto you, They have their reward. But thou, when thou prayest, enter into thy closet, and when thou hast shut thy door, pray to thy Father which is in secret; and thy Father which seeth in secret shall reward thee openly.

Wordle 819 Hint

 

Hint: Cherubim are just one kind of today's Wordle.


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First Letter: A

Friday, September 15, 2023

Wordle 818 Hint

Hint: You may find the process of solving today's Wordle strenuous.


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First Letter: E

Thursday, September 14, 2023

Dishonest Persuasion Technique: Lie, Then Admit You Lied, Hoping No One Will Notice You Lied

Far from the only example, but this one at The New Republic just kind of jumped out at me this morning.

The lie:

Many are unaware of the subminimum wage that allows a tipped employee to be paid as little as $2.13 per hour.

Then, in the very next paragraph, the admission of the lie:

[E]mployers are not required to pay minimum wages as long as customers make up the difference.

It's not that they're "allowed ... to be paid as little as $2.13 per hour." It's that they may be paid part of what they earn directly by the customer instead of with the employer as a middleman. The total must come to at least the legally mandated minimum wage. If tips don't get the employee there, the employer has to make up the difference.

I happen to have opinions on tipping, but I'm not going to go into them here. The point of the post is to point out how its opponents tell a blatant lie, then later on slip in an admission that they lied, hoping that readers are too stupid to make the connection.

Wordle 817 Hint

Hint: This "silk" is artificial, spun from plant fibers by humans rather than produced by caterpillars.


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First Letter: R

Wednesday, September 13, 2023

NFL Week 2 Picks

As posted at ESPN's Pigskin Pick'em site (straight picks, no spreads, etc., and I've created a group for those who would like to play along with me):

  • Philadelphia Eagles beat Minnesota Vikings
  • Green Bay Packers beat Atlanta Falcons
  • Buffalo Bills beat Las Vegas Raiders
  • Cincinnati Bengals beat Baltimore Ravens
  • Detroit Lions beat Seattle Seahawks
  • Tennessee Titans beat Los Angeles Chargers*
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Chicago Bears
  • Kansas City Chiefs beat Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Houston Texans beat Indianapolis Colts*
  • San Francisco 49ers beat Los Angeles Rams
  • New York Giants beat Arizona Cardinals
  • Dallas Cowboys beat New York Jets
  • Washington Commanders beat Denver Broncos*
  • Miami Dolphins beat New England Patriots
  • New Orleans Saints beat Carolina Panthers
  • Pittsburgh Steelers beat Cleveland Browns*

Asterisks indicate "upset" picks -- that is, my pick disagreed with the majority of players as of the time I made it (I may swing back to see if there are any changes to that status).

It's a little early in the season to be drawing too many conclusions, of course, but I'm hoping to improve on my 10-6 Week 1 performance.


Wordle 816 Hint

Hint: Today's Wordle embodies transparency.


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First Letter: C

Tuesday, September 12, 2023

Two Free Email Subscriptions for Readers of eBooks

As I move away from Gmail and to Proton Mail (that is an affiliate link, and thanks to one of you for getting me nearly three months worth of my upgrade with your upgrade!), one process I'm going through is carefully looking at all of my email newsletter subscriptions and deciding which ones to move over and which ones to ditch. Two I'm keeping:

  • BookBub (that is a referral link, but I don't know what if anything I receive if you subscribe)
  • Bookperk (not an affiliate link)

They're both "free," they're both daily, and they both feature links to free or on sale ebooks at Amazon and elsewhere.

The most common price point seems to be $1.99, and I often find stuff I either didn't know I wanted (recent example: Salman Rushdie's Victory City), but knew I wanted and wasn't willing to pay an outrageous price for (recent example: Quentin Tarantino's Cinema Speculation).

I've complained enough on this blog about outrageous ebook prices; now you know where I find good deals.

NFL Week 1 Outcomes

My picks (posted here), with "Tom was right" picks in green and "Tom was wrong" picks in red:

  • Kansas City Chiefs beat Detroit Lions
  • Carolina Panthers beat Atlanta Falcons*
  • Cincinnati Bengals beat Cleveland Browns
  • Jacksonville Jaguars beat Indianapolis Colts
  • Minnesota Vikings beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • New Orleans Saints beat Tennessee Titans
  • San Francisco 49ers beat Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Washington Commanders beat Arizona Cardinals
  • Baltimore Ravens beat Houston Texans
  • Green Bay Packers beat Chicago Bears*
  • Las Vegas Raiders beat Denver Broncos*
  • Philadelphia Eagles beat New England Patriots
  • Miami Dolphins beat Los Angeles Chargers*
  • Seattle Seahawks beat Los Angeles Rams
  • Dallas Cowboys beat New York Giants
  • Buffalo Bills beat New York Jets

So, 10-6 for Week 1. Not terrible, I guess. I predicted four upsets (that is, my picks disagreed with the majorities -- indicated by asterisks above) and three of them happened.

Since FiveThirtyEight seems to have dropped its annual NFL Forecasting Game, I'm doing my picks at ESPN's PigSkin Pick'Em. So far I'm in the 93rd percentile for accuracy there and ranked 57,493rd, although I don't see an easy way to figure out how many players there are altogether. I've set up a group that you can join if you'd like to see how your predictions stack up against mine (and those of other people who join the group).

Wordle 815 Hint

Hint: This kind of blender does have wires, but it's not electric.


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First Letter: W

Monday, September 11, 2023

If You're Charging a "Rehoming Fee" of Several Hundred Dollars Each for Your Puppies ...

... you're not charging a "rehoming fee," you're just selling your puppies.

Which is fine, but why pretend otherwise?

Yet Another Non-Existent Problem

According to a CBS News / YouGov poll, 77% of American voters think there should be "maximum age limits for elected officials."

But there already are "maximum age limits for elected officials."

They're called "elections."

Think someone's too old to hold office? Don't vote for him or her. "Problem" solved.

The framers of the US Constitution obviously didn't think age was a problem -- they set the minimum age to hold the presidency at only one year less than the average lifespan circa 1790.

Wordle 814 Hint

Hint: Today's Wordle was from its back pages -- it's younger than that now.


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First Letter: O

Sunday, September 10, 2023

An Affiliate Link and Recommendation

From an email I received this morning:

Dear Proton community member,

Your privacy is better protected when your contacts use Proton too.

So we’re offering up to $90 in credits when you refer your friends to Proton Mail.

If you create a free Proton Mail account through my affiliate link, you get a free month of their "Mail Plus" paid upgrade.

If you decide to continue with that paid plan (or choose one of their other paid plans), I get some credit toward my paid plan.

I've mentioned/recommended Proton Mail before. One thing I may not have mentioned is that in addition to offering strong encryption, etc., they're located in Switzerland, which has very strong privacy laws. They're not going to hand your data over to the FBI just because they're asked to. The matter will go to court (a Swiss court, not a US court) first.

Wordle 813 Hint

Hint: I'm saying this first. If you say it again with attribution, you're doing today's Wordle.


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First Letter: Q

Things I See by the Side of the Road While Walking and Wonder How They Got There, #2


No obvious graffiti nearby (and that tends to be sprayed anyway). Guess it fell off a truck.

Wordle 812 Hint

Hint: If today's Wordle was a sequence of six numbers instead of five letters, it would turn out to be the winning Powerball pick.


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First Letter: L

Friday, September 08, 2023

An Explanation of How/Why the Lions Beat the Chiefs Last Night

They scored more points.

Yes, it's really that simple.

I always "bet on" the Chiefs to win, and I thought they probably would last night, but the outcome is not shocking or bizarre. They just got out-played.

After a terrible start last year, the Lions improved dramatically toward the end of the season, and they used their draft picks and other acquisition techniques wisely in between seasons.

When I was a kid, the inevitable Thanksgiving dinner after-joke was "so, who are we going to watch beat the Lions tonight?"

Not anymore. They've got a head coach (Dan Campbell) whose total focus is building a winning team and he's doing exactly that. He's also willing to take big risks, as with the fake punt early in the game from inside the Lions' own 20-yard line. Goff is a first-rate quarterback and the Lions have been busy acquiring players whose strengths match his own (and a great defensive line).

Yes, the Chiefs had Travis Kelce out with a knee injury and Chris Jones pouting from the stands because he's unhappy with contract negotiations. That did hurt them, but the Chiefs were up against a worthy opponent either way.

I was pleasantly surprised by the officiating. I recall a missed (in my view) pass interference call, but I don't remember which team was affected how. There was also a case where, last year, "roughing the quarterback" would have been called, and wasn't. In this case, the "victim" was Mahomes, and he was pissed that there was no flag on the play, but the contact was clearly unintentional and I think the decision not to call a foul was correct. Hopefully they're going to get a little less inclined to yell "roughing the passer" every time a drop of another player's sweat lands on his cleats.

My Favorite Daily Walking Route ...

... and not only because, while walking it, I occasionally run into an attractive lady who also seems to choose it for regular walks.



From my house to what's usually the far end of the route (a "t" intersection with a dirt/sand road -- I do occasionally turn left or right and make it into a long walk) is about 2,400 steps, so walking it knocks out nearly half my daily 11,000 step quota. 

There's no place on the basic route (as far as the "t") that's more than maybe 2,000 feet from a busy hard surface road, but after the first hundred feet or so the road noise becomes muffled/distant enough that it really feels like being waaaaayyyy out in the country. I've walked it maybe 100 times and have encountered a vehicle, IIRC, twice.

Wordle 811 Hint

Hint: Wake up, little Wordler, wake up.


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First Letter: R

Thursday, September 07, 2023

The Down Sides of Careless Fantasy Football Schedule Keeping ...

... can be serious indeed.

I'm glad the guy is okay. But personally, I've started buying wings from out when a situation calls for wings. Yes, they're expensive, but when I look at the price of the raw ones and think about the work involved, they don't seem that expensive. And you can often find a sale.

I personally prefer the "naked" wings from Hooters, but it's been years since I had them (I can't imagine what Tamara has against Hooters) and Publix sells a "naked" wing that's not a buffalo wing -- it has some kind of dry rub on it -- that I like too.

Note to self: See if Tamara will stop at Hooters and get naked wings before the game tonight.

NFL Week 1 Picks

It's that time of year! So far as I can tell, FiveThirtyEight isn't running their NFL Forecasting Game this year. In fact, they seem to have stopped covering sports entirely several months ago.

So, I've signed up with ESPN's "Pigskin Pick'em" (standard option, no spreads, etc.) for this season. I've also created a group for anyone who wants to match their picks with mine and see who does best.

My Week 1 Picks:

  • Kansas City Chiefs beat Detroit Lions
  • Carolina Panthers beat Atlanta Falcons*
  • Cincinnati Bengals beat Cleveland Browns
  • Jacksonville Jaguars beat Indianapolis Colts
  • Minnesota Vikings beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • New Orleans Saints beat Tennessee Titans
  • San Francisco 49ers beat Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Washington Commanders beat Arizona Cardinals
  • Baltimore Ravens beat Houston Texans
  • Green Bay Packers beat Chicago Bears*
  • Las Vegas Raiders beat Denver Broncos*
  • Philadelphia Eagles beat New England Patriots
  • Miami Dolphins beat Los Angeles Chargers*
  • Seattle Seahawks beat Los Angeles Rams
  • Dallas Cowboys beat New York Giants
  • Buffalo Bills beat New York Jets
I suppose ESPN has a model, but I don't see picks for it on my Pick'em screen. What I do see is the percentage of people making picks who have picked each team to win. Asterisks above indicate where I disagree with the majority (said majority being the majority as of the time I made my picks). Any changes to my picks will be made prior to game time and mentioned in an update to this post.

The Chiefs-Lions kickoff is at 8:20pm Eastern tonight. I don't buy a lot of NFL merch because it's so pricy, but I did find a sub-$15 deal on a Chiefs light-up beanie, so I expect to top off my red shirt and red shorts with that when I sit down to watch tonight on Peacock.

Wordle 810 Hint

Hint: You could do today's Wordle in a house or on the past.


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First Letter: D

Wednesday, September 06, 2023

Wordle 809 Hint

Hint: In the biblical book of Matthew, the wicked do this with their teeth while wailing in the furnace of fire.


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First Letter: G

Wordle 808 Hint

Hint: It's a tree! It's a beer! It's a subscription box!


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First Letter: B

Monday, September 04, 2023

Wordle 807 Hint

Hint: Today's Wordle is so exciting that I find it dizzying/disorienting.


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First Letter: G

Sunday, September 03, 2023

Sometimes a Break is Just the Thing

For whatever reason, by Garrison Center columns have felt kind of stale and perfunctory lately. I don't know if that's how they read to others, but I've just not been wildly satisfied with them.

Fortunately, this is a holiday weekend, so no Saturday column. And my fellow Garrison columnist, Joel Schlosberg, has one in the can for Tuesday.

Which means I get a whole week away from worrying about writing 400-500 word op-eds. I expect to get back into the swing on Thursday with some of the verve that's been missing.

Wordle 806 Hint

Hint: If you haven't gotten to today's Wordle yet, don't sweat it. The puzzle isn't going anywhere and anticipates your arrival.


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First Letter: A

Saturday, September 02, 2023

Wordle 805 Hint

Hint: Today's Wordle may bring you to tears. It's a bulb, but not the kind that lights up a room.


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First Letter: O

Friday, September 01, 2023

A Thing I've Never Done That I'd Like Opinions On

I've still never tried Airbnb.

I've had friends and relatives tell me it's great (and I've visited some of them at the places they've rented and been favorably impressed).

But I've never pulled the trigger on it myself for several reasons (one of them is that Tamara has the ability to get very attractive hotel rates).

One of these days, I'd like to take a vacation. A real one. As in:

  • A full week (or more) rather than 3-4 days, and
  • Entirely for family time / recreation, rather than for funerals or political stuff or whatever.

That sounds like a better use case for Airbnb.

Most of the time when I travel, a hotel makes the most sense because it's just a place to crash in between a whirlwind of stuff I have to do. Might as well let someone else cook my breakfast, etc.

But with a full week and no schedule to keep, a nice little house with a nice little patio/firepit -- as well as a full kitchen and laundry facilities one need not hover over -- sounds like the better plan. Especially if we're talking a beach vacation. Hit the beach when we feel like it. Wander into town when the spirit moves. Otherwise, kick back to watch some sunsets and so forth, maybe with some steaks on the grill or whatever.

What's your experience with Airbnb or similar outfits been like? Have you received what you paid for, and was the price right? Any horror stories?

Wordle 804 Hint

Hint: As frontiers go, today's Wordle is final.


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First Letter: S

Thanks For Asking! -- 09/01/23

I'm actually drafting this post on August 28, because Hurricane Idalia is likely to pass over my house on August 29 or 30 and I don't know if I'll have power or Internet access on September 1, when it's scheduled to publish.

I am, however, optimistic that I will survive and eventually make it back to answer anything -- yes, anything -- you care to ask in the comment thread below this post. So ask away.